Date of Award

3-1991

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science in Operations Research

Department

Department of Operational Sciences

First Advisor

Kenneth W. Bauer, PhD

Abstract

This study attempted to build statistical models which could possibly be used to help predict an individual's final outcome of pass or fail from Undergraduate Navigator Training (UNT). Also, the research tried to develop models to help place a potential trainee into one of the three training tracks at UNT. The variables studied were test scores from a computerized testing device which measured psychomotor and cognitive skills of individuals entering training. The Air Force Officers Qualifying Test (AFOQT) scores were also variables considered. Data was from 317 trainees from the years 1988 to 1990. Discriminant analysis was applied in an effort to place an individual accurately into one of the groups of pass or fail and into one of the three tracks based on his/her scores. Logistic regression was performed on the binary response of pass/fail to give models which would predict probability of passing using the test scores. Factor analysis was used to explore the underlying dimensions of all the variables. Some variables were found to be important predictors. Although models were built from the analyses, the study could use more data on individuals who failed from training.

AFIT Designator

AFIT-GOR-ENS-91M-6

DTIC Accession Number

ADA238354

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