Modeling Sea Level Rise at Tyndall AFB

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Warmer temperatures cause sea level rise as ice melts in the regions surrounding the Earth’s northern and southern poles. The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts that by 2100 the global mean sea level will rise between 0.25-m and 1.1-m, based on different climate scenarios. However, there are regional differences in how this global mean sea level will be observed, with some locations projecting higher impacts due to local conditions. The amount of sea level rise is dependent on the global emissions scenarios; faster reduction of greenhouse gases will mitigate overall sea level rise.

To explore the effect of a rising sea on airfields, a case study was conducted of Tyndall AFB, Fla. The installation’s stormwater system is currently under redesign, with the planned systems intended to service the entirety of the airfield and be resilient to extreme sea level rise and rainfall.


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[*] Author note: At the time of publication Capt Jedidiah Langlois was an AFIT graduate student..

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The Military Engineer

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