Date of Award

9-2025

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science

Department

Department of Operational Sciences

First Advisor

Kunpeng Li, PhD

Abstract

This thesis investigates the projected impacts of climate disruption on the performance and fuel management of the C-17 Globemaster III, a critical mobility aircraft in the Pacific Air Forces (PACAF) region. As rising global temperatures reduce air density, the performance of aircraft is compromised, resulting in increased fuel consumption, as well as the potential for extended runway requirements and diminished cargo capacity. Using climate projection data from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), this research analyzes future air temperature trends and their implications for C-17 fuel consumption. Results suggest that by 2049, the U.S. Air Force may incur an additional $23.5 million to $43.5 million in fuel costs due to temperature-induced inefficiencies. These values solely account for the C-17, suggesting that total costs could be far higher if all U.S. Air Force aircraft were considered. The findings underscore the need for adaptive strategies such as upgrading infrastructure, revising flight schedules, and adjusting pilot decision-making. This work contributes to broader efforts to enhance operational resilience and fuel efficiency in the face of climate disruption.

AFIT Designator

AFIT-ENS-MS-25-S-004

Comments

An embargo was observed for posting this dissertation on AFIT Scholar.
Approved for Public Release, Distribution A: Distribution Unlimited. PA Case Number 88ABW-2026-0176

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