Author

Paul T. Nemec

Date of Award

3-1991

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science

Department

Department of Operational Sciences

First Advisor

James W. Chrissis, PhD

Abstract

This thesis investigates HFDF confidence region (CR) shape exhibited by geolocations in a search-and-rescue context. In Phase I, a Keeney-Raiffa multiattribute utility function was developed which allowed an analytical measure of preference between elliptical and equivalent- probability circular CRs. Phase II utilized a likelihood approach to establish CR shape for sample operational geolocations having multiple points of bearing intersections. For 12 sample Phase I geolocations, the elliptical CR always had higher utility than its corresponding circular CR. For accepted sample geolocations, a preference condition was developed whereby a circular CR would only be preferred over the corresponding elliptical CR if the relative percent utility difference was less than some DOD-established threshold percentage.

AFIT Designator

AFIT-GST-ENS-91M-2

DTIC Accession Number

ADA238390

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