A Decision-Theoretic Approach to Recommending Action in the Air-to- Ground Aircraft of the Future

Author

Garrison H. Flemings

Date of Award

3-1992

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science

Department

Department of Operational Sciences

First Advisor

Bruce W. Morlan, Major, USAF

Second Advisor

Thomas F. Schuppe, PhD [Reader]

Abstract

Designers of air-to-ground fighters of the future should consider including decision support systems to relieve pilots of some of the present workload. Those decision support systems should use utility theory. This work reviews two techniques of utility theory (decision trees and influence diagrams) and a new technique due to Morlan (probability ratio nets). The work includes a proposed structure for action recommendation systems in air-to-ground fighters of the future. The work describes an implementation of probability ratio nets. The work demonstrates the value of decision theory to air-to-ground fighters of the future by way of solving an example problem and several variation of it.

AFIT Designator

AFIT-GST-ENS-92M-03

DTIC Accession Number

ADA248158

Comments

The author's Vita page is omitted.

Recommended Citation

Flemings, Garrison H., "A Decision-Theoretic Approach to Recommending Action in the Air-to- Ground Aircraft of the Future" (1992). Theses and Dissertations. 7652.
https://scholar.afit.edu/etd/7652