Date of Award

3-2023

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science

Department

Department of Systems Engineering and Management

First Advisor

Brigham A. Moore, PhD

Abstract

The United States Air Force (USAF) relies on its installations to project military power across the globe. However, due to the deferred infrastructure maintenance and recapitalization backlog of $33 billion as of 2019 (Wilson & Goldfein, 2019), it is more critical than ever for base-level community planners to focus their attention to the projects that will achieve each installation’s long-term goals. The recent incorporation of asset management principles into the USAF District Planning Process allows a unique opportunity to improve the existing scoring model for a holistic look at what matters to enterprise leaders and community planners making the plans at the installations. This thesis offers a new model combining asset management and community planning principles. I use Multi-Attribute Utility Theory (MAUT) and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to define the scoring for the criteria through utility curves, and the weights for the criteria, through an expert elicitation study of pairwise comparisons. The model was tested in a case study of ten projects at Hill AFB, assessing the projects using the six criteria of building condition, building importance, interior capacity, exterior capacity, interior configuration, and exterior configuration. The results show that facilities in the ideal condition range for investment that are sited poorly as to increase infrastructure maintenance liabilities, rise higher in the scoring to alert the planner to consider action. The methodologies provided in this thesis are expected to help shape the next iteration of guidance in the USAF District Planning Process, enabling the enterprise to reduce the infrastructure maintenance and recapitalization backlog burden on its installations.

AFIT Designator

AFIT-ENV-MS-23-M-231

Comments

A 12-month embargo was observed.

Approved for public release: 88ABW-2023-0405

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