Date of Award
Master of Science
Department of Operational Sciences
Mark Gallagher, PhD
In this research, we propose and demonstrate an approach to incorporate currently un-modeled interactions into an existing or a new combat model or simulation. We apply the Leontief Input-Output model, which is a macro-economic model that measures the interactions between major industrial sectors of an economy, as a metamodel that periodically assesses the status of various combat units and support functions. If needed resources are insufficient, appropriate degrades are input into the combat model. As a result, dependencies that are not in the combat model are incorporated. Hence, we can assess the strategic or cascading effects of destroying a set of targets. We demonstrate our approach with THUNDER, the Air Force's campaign model. We estimated the Leontief model parameters with preliminary THUNDER runs. Some of the strategic targets-which formerly had no impact on the scenario-were connected in the Leontief metamodel. We ran the scenario again with degrades from the Leontief model being passed to THUNDER at regular intervals. This work provides a deeper understanding of the military structure as a system. Using the Leontief model as a metamodel is a promising approach for measuring the cascading impact of strategic targets on the entire military system.
DTIC Accession Number
Snodgrass, Anthony W., "Leontief Metamodeling for Military Strategic Effects" (2000). Theses and Dissertations. 4862.