Kelly E. Kwan

Date of Award

3-2007

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science in Engineering Management

Department

Department of Systems Engineering and Management

First Advisor

Alfred E. Thal, Jr., PhD

Abstract

The purpose of this research was to investigate the impact of using a decision analysis technique for the selection of an electrical generation system for remote locations. Specifically, this thesis sought to answer five research questions addressing the types of energy sources used in remote locations, the decision-making processes used to identify these sources, the types of constraints incorporated in such a process, other valued factors, and their level of importance in relation to each other. The research questions were answered through a comprehensive literature review and the 10-Step Value-Focused Thinking Process on a specific case study in the National Park Service. Decision makers comprising of the National Park staff offered their input into the execution of this process. Electrical system manufacturers and distributors were also consulted as subject matter experts. The research identified several electrical alternatives that are currently being used by remote locations around the world. However, decision process used to make such selections were undisclosed. A value-focused thinking model indicated the highest scoring electrical alternative based on constraints and factors provided decision makers. Limitations and assumptions applied to the model further highlighted the significant details. The culmination of this effort was the introduction of a decision analysis technique to provide valuable information for the selection of electrical systems in remote locations. The implication of this study is the distribution of this technique to inhabitants in other isolated areas for effective decisions.

AFIT Designator

AFIT-GEM-ENV-07-M7

DTIC Accession Number

ADA465329

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