Date of Award


Document Type


Degree Name

Master of Science


Department of Operational Sciences

First Advisor

Jeffery K. Cochran, PhD.


Improvised Explosive Device attacks have skyrocketed since the start of the War on Terror. Many troops wounded by these tactics receive long-lasting unseen wounds including Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI). TBI sufferers are treated along with other casualties. This has created an increasing, and varying, demand for ongoing post operative recovery care for troops returning from deployments. Diagnosis and treatment for TBI wounded troops is costly. This thesis is motivated by the recognition that budgets are constrained yet quality of care should not be compromised. Additive Holtz-Winters smoothing is used to forecast overall patient care demand, a regression based on queueing theory determines care consultant staffing levels, and reliability theory quantifies the idea of reducing cost by reducing parallel treatment planning. The scope is the Warfighter Rehabilitation Centers and AF Warrior and Survivor Care with data from SMEs, the Brookings Institution, and This thesis provides a step-by-step methodology and analyzes the actual situation that leadership encountered from 2010-2012.

AFIT Designator


DTIC Accession Number