Date of Award
Master of Science
Department of Operational Sciences
Mark A. Gallagher, PhD
This research game theory framework evaluates the resilience of nuclear deterrence options between two players. We use lexicographic prioritization to value four priorities of political, military, economic, and civilian casualties. The value order may be varied. We demonstrate our approach with six player choices of no nuclear strike, demonstration, counterforce, tactical military, economic, or countervalue strike. We use game theory to construct and analyze the resulting damage matrix. We conclude that credible deterrence requires having at least equivalent offensive damage capabilities.
DTIC Accession Number
Cevallos, Michael A., "Game Theory Framework to Evaluate Nuclear Deterrence" (2022). Theses and Dissertations. 5388.