Date of Award

3-2000

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science

Department

Department of Engineering Physics

First Advisor

Cecilia A. Miner, PhD

Abstract

This research is concerned with improving an existing algorithm to accurately forecast thunderstorm starting times for Cape Canaveral, Florida. This was accomplished by investigating different linear regression techniques than those used in the existing algorithm. The result is three new thunderstorm start time algorithms. The forecast start times of these new algorithms were then compared to actual thunderstorm start times to determine which method produced the most accurate results. The average thunderstorm starting time was also calculated from the data. This time was also compared to actual thunderstorm starting time. Upon examination of the various start times produced, it was found that all algorithms, including the original algorithm, performed worse than using the average thunderstorm start time.

AFIT Designator

AFIT-GM-ENP-00M-10

DTIC Accession Number

ADA383830

Comments

The author's Vita page is omitted.

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