Date of Award


Document Type


Degree Name

Master of Science in Cost Analysis


Department of Systems Engineering and Management

First Advisor

Scott T. Drylie, PhD


The ability of the Program Offices to provide accurate cost estimates is an essential element in planning and programming. Historically, cost estimating has led to budget overruns and continues to be an area of scrutiny and concern. A series of legislative reforms have sought to address each of these perceived underlying causes which are located at all levels of decision making – from the SPO to CADE. The current study is specifically interested in determining how well SPOs are doing. There have not been comprehensive studies on SPO performance. In large part, this deficiency is due to the inability to systematically assess the SPOs. However, a new consolidation of data by AFLCMC has recently made it possible to do such a study. The AFLCMC’s program office estimates in this study will look at the SPOs of AFLCMC and evaluate their cost estimates for growth and determine if their established method of self-assessment provides a predictor of the overall future accuracy of the program estimate.

AFIT Designator


DTIC Accession Number