Date of Award


Document Type


Degree Name

Master of Science in Logistics and Supply Chain Management


Department of Operational Sciences

First Advisor

John M. Dickens, PhD


By order of the Secretary of Defense, all of the US Air Force's F-16 units were tasked to improve their fleet health to a Mission Capability (MC) rate of 80 percent, as part of a Department of Defense-wide push to make its Critical Aviation Platforms, and the units that employ them, more ready and lethal. This study uses historical fleet health and sortie execution data captured from LIMS-EV (Weapon System Viewer, 2020) to create a multiple regression model that quantifies the value of increased fleet health, defined as either MC rate or Aircraft Availability (AA) rate, in terms of increasing sortie output. It also uses forecasted near-future sortie demand to assess the utility of the 80 percent MC rate standard towards achieving desired sortie execution levels. This research concludes that both AA rate and MC rate correlate with increased aircraft utilization and that an increase in either fleet health metric correlates to increased annual utilization of roughly five sorties per aircraft. It also identifies AA rate as a more significant input to sortie execution than MC rate. Furthermore, it suggests that an AA rate standard of 71 percent is most appropriate for achieving the aircraft utilization levels needed to satisfy pilot training requirements.

AFIT Designator


DTIC Accession Number