Date of Award


Document Type


Degree Name

Master of Science in Engineering Management


Department of Systems Engineering and Management

First Advisor

Alfred E. Thal, Jr., PhD


The purpose of this research was to develop a decision tool to assist in the evaluation of facility recapitalization budget estimation models to determine which model was best suited for a particular organization. Specifically, this thesis sought to answer an overarching research question addressing the importance of recapitalization and the best method to estimate the facility recapitalization budget using the Department of Defense (DoD) as the subject of the research. A comprehensive literature review revealed ten existing recapitalization model alternatives to consider for implementation. The methodology used to develop a decision tool was based on the Value Focused Thinking (VFT) approach. A panel of recapitalization program managers developed a value hierarchy to evaluate all potential recapitalization model alternatives. The results of the deterministic and probabilistic analyses of 15 alternatives found that the proposed DoD model scored well in comparison to other alternatives. With slight modifications to the model according to the value hierarchy, the DoD can improve the performance of their recapitalization models. The H-Model, created specifically for this analysis, dominated all other alternatives and is recommended for implementation.

AFIT Designator


DTIC Accession Number