Date of Award


Document Type


Degree Name

Master of Science in Engineering Management


Department of Systems Engineering and Management

First Advisor

Steven J. Schuldt, PhD


During the last century, airbases were attacked at least 26 times in an effort to destroy the enemy at its base. Attacks on military airbases impose prohibitive losses to critical infrastructure, which in turn impacts the maintenance of air power projection. The primary enemy threat facing critical infrastructure today is the use of ballistic and land-attack cruise missiles to disrupt an airbase’s ability to launch and recover aircraft. Over the last decade, ballistic and cruise missile technology has grown to allow the world’s most powerful countries to achieve a nascent threat to forward operating bases used in theater security campaigns worldwide. Planners can reduce the impact of ballistic and cruise missile attacks on aircraft projection platforms by incorporating a number of resiliency measures, including dispersal of critical infrastructure assets, such as aircraft fuel containment and conveyance equipment. The integration of resiliency measures increases construction costs; therefore, planners need to identify an optimum balance between maximizing airbase resiliency and minimizing site costs. This research presents an airbase resiliency assessment capable of quantifying facility dispersal and risk tolerance levels in an environment threatened by missile attack. Model performance was evaluated using a case study from Osan AB, Republic of Korea. The model’s distinctive capabilities are expected to support planners in the critical task of analyzing and selecting the design strategy that maximizes airbase resiliency against the threat of ballistic and cruise missile attack.

AFIT Designator


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