Date of Award


Document Type


Degree Name

Master of Science


Department of Systems Engineering and Management

First Advisor

Peter P. Feng, PhD.


Tenuous political and economic times call for increased oversight and improved results from military counterinsurgency programs in Afghanistan, programs that provide agile non-kinetic weapons, critical for commanders fighting in today's asymmetric battle space. This paper proposes a decision tool for construction projects executed under the Commanders Emergency Response Program, designed to meet the changing demands of fighting an amorphous insurgency among dynamic systems of stakeholders. The research first conducted a system analysis of the CERP project execution process identifying key findings addressing value adding inputs. The research then applies a Causal Chain, borrowed from the Emergency Management field to identify contributions of early system inputs and expand the aperture on project outcomes to include their long-term impacts. The research suggests that the Commanders Emergency Response Program can improve outcomes by considering a broader perspective of the system using the Causal Chain, delaying project outcome determination, expanding the pool and increasing the meaningful involvement of stakeholders, driving outcome focused decision making. The research hopes to contribute to improving the outcomes of the Commanders Emergency Response Program and provide a useful framework to describe the system during future policy decisions for the program.

AFIT Designator


DTIC Accession Number