Date of Award
3-2022
Document Type
Thesis
Degree Name
Master of Science
Department
Department of Operational Sciences
First Advisor
Mark A. Gallagher, PhD
Abstract
This research game theory framework evaluates the resilience of nuclear deterrence options between two players. We use lexicographic prioritization to value four priorities of political, military, economic, and civilian casualties. The value order may be varied. We demonstrate our approach with six player choices of no nuclear strike, demonstration, counterforce, tactical military, economic, or countervalue strike. We use game theory to construct and analyze the resulting damage matrix. We conclude that credible deterrence requires having at least equivalent offensive damage capabilities.
AFIT Designator
AFIT-ENS-MS-22-M-119
DTIC Accession Number
AD1170684
Recommended Citation
Cevallos, Michael A., "Game Theory Framework to Evaluate Nuclear Deterrence" (2022). Theses and Dissertations. 5388.
https://scholar.afit.edu/etd/5388